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Nitin K
GEOJIT FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD,
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grievances@geojit.com
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Ramanan K R
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Zacharia K G
0484-2901330 ( Mon- Fri : 9.30 am - 5.00 pm )
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C J George
0484-2901235 ( Mon- Fri : 10.00 am - 5.00 pm)
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Sophy Jerard
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GIFT Nifty:
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 45 points at the opening bell.
Global markets:
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading lower ahead of the Bank of Japan's rate decision. The BOJ is likely to hold its benchmark policy rate at -0.1%, as per reports.
Japan's headline inflation rate came in at 3.2% for August, slightly slower than the 3.3% seen in July and the 16th straight month that inflation has went above the Bank of Japan's 2% target. The core inflation rate, which strips out prices of fresh food stood at 3.1%, unchanged from the July.
US stocks notched a third straight day of losses on Thursday as Treasury yields popped to multiyear highs and investors grew worried that lawmakers would be unable to prevent a shutdown.
The Bank of England paused its hiking cycle, keeping the policy rate at 5.25%, after cooler-than-expected inflation data.
Domestic markets:
Back home, the domestic equity benchmarks closed lower for the third consecutive day on Thursday. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex slipped 570.60 points or 0.85% to 66,230.24. The Nifty 50 index lost 159.05 points or 0.80% to 19,742.35.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 3,007.36 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,158.14 crore in the Indian equity market on 21 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could decline 38 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks fell across the region after the U.S. Federal Reserve held its benchmark policy rate, but said it will raise interest rates one more time this year, according to the central bank's projections. Projections showed the central bank expects to hike rates to a median of 5.6% by the end of 2023, up from the current range between 5.25% and 5.5%.
US stocks ended lower on Wednesday as investors digested the Fed's moves. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its two-day meeting Wednesday. However, the central bank signaled it still expects one more hike before the end of the year and fewer cuts than previously indicated next year. The final increase, if realized, would be the last in this cycle, according to the Fed's projections.
Back home, domestic equity barometers tanked on Wednesday, sliding for the second consecutive trading session. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex dropped 796 points or 1.18% to 66,800.84. The Nifty 50 index lost 231.90 points or 1.15% to 19,901.40.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 3,110.69 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net sellers to the tune of Rs 573.02 crore in the Indian equity market on 20 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could fall 21 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks are mostly trading lower as China left its one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged. China's one-year and five-year loan prime rates were held at 3.45% and 4.2% respectively.
On Friday, the Bank of Japan will conclude its monetary policy meeting and traders will be looking for clarity on when the BOJ will start to shift its ultra-easy monetary policy. Elsewhere, the People's Bank of China is also expected to release its loan prime rate decisions on Friday.
US stocks ended lower on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's decision. The US Federal Reserve began its two-day policy meeting on Tuesday and will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday. The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady, but investors will be paying close attention to the summary of economic projections and the press conference of Fed chair Jerome Powell for clues about what might happen in the months ahead.
Back home, the domestic equity benchmark indices ended lower on Monday amid negative global cues. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex declined 241.79 points or 0.36% to 67,596.84. The Nifty 50 index lost 59.05 points or 0.29% to 20,133.30. The Indian equity market remained closed on Tuesday, 19 September, for Ganesh Chaturthi.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,236.51 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 552.55 crore in the Indian equity market on 18 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 25 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks slipped on Monday as investors look ahead to a week of central bank decisions. The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision is expected early Thursday in Asia, while Australia's central bank will release its minutes for its 5 September 2023 policy meeting on Tuesday.
US stocks fell Friday as investors wrapped up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Back home, domestic equity benchmarks ended with decent gains on Friday. The Sensex and the Nifty achieved record closing highs. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 319.63 points or 0.47% to 67,838.63. The Nifty 50 index added 89.25 points or 0.44% to 20,192.35.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 164.42 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,938.57 crore in the Indian equity market on 15 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 22 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading higher bolstered by a slew of China's economic data for August mostly came in better than market expectations.
China's retail sales and industrial production picked up in August, with better-than-expected growth, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Friday. Retail sales grew by 4.6% in August from a year ago. The increase was also faster than the 2.5% year-on-year pace in July. Industrial production also rose by 4.5% in August from a year ago, faster than the 3.7% increase reported for July. Fixed asset investment, however, grew by 3.2% year-on-year in August on a year-to-date basis. That was slower than the 3.4% pace reported as of July.
US stocks ended higher as core producer price index in the U.S. climbed by 0.2% in August, in line with expectations. The overall producer price index increased a seasonally adjusted 0.7%, the biggest monthly gain since June 2022.
The European Central Bank decided to hike interest rates once again on Thursday. The ECB opted to increase rates by 25 basis points, a 10th consecutive hike taking its main rate to 4%.
Back home, frontline indices saw marginal gains on Thursday amid volatility. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex added 52.01 points or 0.08% to 67,519. The Nifty 50 index gained 33.10 points or 0.16% to 20,103.10.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 294.69 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net sellers to the tune of Rs 50.80 crore in the Indian equity market on 14 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 35 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading higher on Thursday even as inflation in the U.S. inflation rate in August came in hotter than expected.
US stocks ended mixed on Wednesday as traders weighted the hot August inflation report. Markets are now waiting on key economic indicators before the Fed issues its next rate move on September 20. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is slated to release the August Producer Price Index before the opening bell on Thursday.
Month-on-month, the consumer price index rose 0.6% in August, in line with expectations. In July, the CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month. However, excluding volatile food and energy costs, the core CPI rose 4.3%, in line with estimates and down from 4.7% in July.
Back home, domestic stock barometers experienced a rebound on Wednesday. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 245.86 points or 0.37% to 67,466.99. The Nifty 50 index added 76.80 points or 0.38% to 20,070. Both the indices attained record closing high levels.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,631.63 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 849.86 crore in the Indian equity market on 13 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could fall 30 points at the opening bell.
On the macro front, India's retail inflation eased to 6.83% in August from 7.44% in July as vegetable prices cooled somewhat compared to the previous month, the National Statistical Office (NSO) data showed on Tuesday. On the other hand, India's industrial output grew by 5.7% in July from 3.8% in June.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading lower on Wednesday as investors awaited key U.S. inflation data, while Chinese property stocks logged strong gains as embattled developer Country Garden clinched more extensions on its debt payments.
US stocks ended lower on Tuesday as Oracle shares tumbled more than 13% after a weak forecast and surging oil prices deepened worries about persistent price pressures ahead of crucial inflation readings this week. Oracle shares dived to their lowest since June after the cloud-services provider forecast current-quarter revenue below targets and narrowly missed first-quarter expectations.
Investors are awaiting August consumer price index data due on Wednesday and producer prices reading scheduled for Thursday to gauge the outlook for U.S. interest rates. Investors will also monitor the European Central Bank's policy decision on Thursday, when it is seen holding rates after nine consecutive hikes.
Back home, despite a positive start, the domestic equity benchmarks failed to sustain their early gains and ended the day with minor losses, putting an end to a seven-day winning streak. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex added 94.05 points or 0.14% to 67,221.13. The Nifty 50 index shed 3.15 points or 0.02% to 19,993.20.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,047.19 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 259.48 crore in the Indian equity market on 12 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 21 points at the opening bell.
On the macro front, India's industrial production data for July will be declared today, 12 September 2023. Inflation rate for August will also be announced today.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading higher on Tuesday after Wall Street saw a tech rally led by Tesla and Qualcomm.
US stocks rose on Monday to start a big week of inflation data as investors bought up tech shares in the wake of recent weakness.
Investors are looking forward to key US inflation data in the week ahead, with the latest consumer price index due Wednesday and producer price index Thursday.
Back home, the equity indices ended the day with significant gains, extending their winning streak for the seventh day in a row. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex jumped 528.17 points or 0.79% to 67,127.08. The Nifty 50 index advanced 176.40 points or 0.89% to 19,996.35.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 1,473.09 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 366.24 crore in the Indian equity market on 11 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could fall 18 points at the opening bell.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in his role as the host of the G20 Summit, concluded the two-day event. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and U.S. President Joe Biden pledged to deepen the partnership between both countries in their second bilateral meeting in less than six months.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading mixed on Monday where key economic data from major economies will take center stage. On Tuesday, India will release its inflation and industrial output figures for August, while China will announce its industrial output, retail sales, and most notably, house sale prices on Friday.
US stocks closed higher on Friday as Apple and other tech and growth stocks witnessed some buying after the recent fall due to China's ban on iPhones for government employees.
Back home, the benchmark indices settled higher on Friday, rising for the sixth consecutive trading session. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 333.35 points or 0.50% to 66,598.91. The Nifty 50 index added 92.90 points or 0.47% to 19,819.95.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 224.22 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,150.15 crore in the Indian equity market on 8 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 24 points at the opening bell.
Meanwhile, US President Joe Biden and Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meet in New Delhi today, 8 September 2023 to give a further push to their relations that are growing into a robust partnership. Biden will also participate in the two-day G20 summit in New Delhi from September 9.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading lower on Friday as Japan released revised second quarter gross domestic product figures. Hong Kong cancelled the morning trading session due to a storm warning. Japan's economy grew 4.8% in the second quarter on a quarter-on-quarter annualized basis, a smaller growth than the 6% seen in the preliminary estimates.
Overnight in the U.S., the Nasdaq Composite fell for a fourth session Thursday as concerns resurfaced over the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy path, and whether policymakers will enact another hike this year.
The likelihood that inflation numbers are going to remain stubbornly high for a while could mean more interest rate increases, former St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard reportedly said.
Back home, domestic stock market closed higher for the fifth consecutive session on Thursday, defying weak Asian markets. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 385.04 points or 0.58% to 66,265.56. The Nifty 50 index added 116 points or 0.59% to 19,727.05.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 758.55 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 28.11 crore in the Indian equity market on 7 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 9 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading mixed on Thursday, following a sell off on Wall Street and ahead of trade data from China and Australia.
US stocks saw a sell off on Wednesday as concerns mounted that the Federal Reserve may not be done hiking interest rates.
The Institute for Supply Management's U.S. services index climbed to a six-month high in August, while the price segment ticked up to 58.9%, a report Wednesday showed. The ISM index's price barometer hit a four-month high.
Back home, local shares experienced choppy trading Wednesday, but late selective buying helped indices gain for the 4th consecutive session. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 100.26 points or 0.15% to 65,880.52. The Nifty 50 index added 36.15 points or 0.18% to 19,611.05.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 3,245.86 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net sellers to the tune of Rs 247.46 crore in the Indian equity market on 6 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could fall 15 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading mixed after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended voluntary oil production cuts to the end of the year. Saudi Arabia will extend its cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of December, while Russia will reduce its oil exports by 300,000 barrels per day.
Australia's gross domestic product expanded 2.1% in the second quarter from a year ago, lower than the 2.3% year-on-year growth recorded in the first quarter.
US stocks ended lower on Tuesday as the rise in crude oil prices weighed on stocks.
Back home, domestic shares continued to rise for the third consecutive session. The S&P BSE Sensex advanced 152.12 points or 0.23% to 65,780.26. The Nifty 50 index added 46.10 points or 0.24% to 19,574.90.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,725.11 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,077.86 crore in the Indian equity market on 5 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could rise 4 points at the opening bell.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading lower ahead of Australia's central bank's rate decision, as well as inflation and business activity readings from across the region. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold its benchmark policy rate for the third straight month, as per reports. Investors are also monitoring purchasing managers index readings from China and India.
Japan's service sector activity expanded at the fastest pace since May, according to a private survey from au Jibun bank. The country's service purchasing managers index stood at 54.3 in August, unchanged from the flash estimates released in late August and higher than the 53.8 in July.
US stocks were closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday.
Back home, equity benchmarks gained moderately on Monday, following positive global markets and encouraging domestic macroeconomic data. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, was up 240.98 points or 0.37% to 65,628.14. The Nifty 50 index added 93.50 points or 0.48% to 19,528.80.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 3,367.67 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,563.48 crore in the Indian equity market on 4 September, provisional data showed.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading mixed on Monday as investors look to key data from Australia and China later in the week. The Reserve Bank of Australia will release its rate decision on Tuesday, while China is expected to release its trade balance for August on Thursday and its inflation rate next weekend.
US stocks ended mixed on Friday as traders weighed the latest U.S. jobs report. The unemployment rate jumped to 3.8% in August, the U.S. Department of Labor said Friday. Nonfarm payrolls grew by a seasonally adjusted 187,000 in August. However, job numbers first reported for June and July were revised down by a combined 110,000.
Back home, domestic stock market surged on Friday amid positive global cues, particularly as US PCE inflation aligned with expectations. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex rallied 555.75 points or 0.86% to 65,387.16. The Nifty 50 index added 181.50 points or 0.94% to 19,435.30.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth Rs 487.94 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 2,294.93 crore in the Indian equity market on 1 September, provisional data showed.
Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the GIFT Nifty indicates that the Nifty could slide 40 points at the opening bell.
On the macro front, India's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 7.8% in the April-June quarter of current fiscal (2023-2024), compared to a growth of 6.1% in the previous January-March quarter of fiscal 2022-23, according to official data shared by the National Statistical Office.
Output of eight key infrastructure sectors, known as the core sector, marginally slowed to 8% in July from 8.3% in June. This is due to a low base effect and positive growth in all the eight sectors during the month. In July last year, the core sector had grown by 4.8%. The print for June 2023 was also revised slightly upwards to 8.3% from 8.2% estimated earlier.
Overseas, Asian stocks are trading mixed after a muted session on Wall Street as traders await Friday's jobs reading to gauge the outlook for Federal Reserve policy. The official manufacturing purchasing managers index came in at 49.7, representing a softer rate of contraction compared to July's figure of 49.3.
Meanwhile, China's central bank announced first reserve ratio cut in 2023 to counter Yuan depreciation. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it would cut the foreign exchange reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 200 basis points (bps) to 4% from 6% beginning September 15, as per reports.
US stocks ended mixed on Thursday after inflation and weekly jobless data. Investors are keenly awaiting employment data due on Friday for clues on the Fed's monetary policy outlook.
Back home, the domestic equity indices settled lower on Thursday, snapping a three-day gaining streak. Trading was volatile on the monthly F&O expiry day. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex slipped 255.84 points or 0.39% to 64,831.41. The Nifty 50 index lost 93.65 points or 0.48% to 19,253.80.
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 2,973.10 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs), were net buyers to the tune of Rs 4,382.76 crore in the Indian equity market on 31 August, provisional data showed.